sitting on the edge of the sandbox, biting my tongue

July 30, 2012

Is Barack Obama Trying to Define a New Baseline of Support for Democrats?

Filed under: politics — Tags: , — edge of the sandbox @ 8:48 am

After the election of Barack Obama, a book called “The Emerging Democratic majority” was the talk of the town.  Written in 2004 by John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira, the book predicted that the growth of black and “Hispanic” voting blocks as well as the leftward shift among the highly educated will give Democrats a natural permanent majority.  November 2008 seemed to be the proof, but the “emerging” majority went bust two years two years down the road with the rise of the Tea party.  Demographic shifts are not to be taken lightly, and we might yet hear from that “emerging majority” at some pint in the future.  Right now, however, it seems like Barack Obama is trying to see how well he can do while screwing up badly.

BO is weakest on all matters relating to the economy.  He probably thought that he’d ram through his agenda, and, given that he took stewardship of the country at the bottom of the recession, the economy would recover on its own.  Instead, we are talking of a double dip and the unemployment rate hovers over 8%, and no President was ever reelected with unemployment numbers that high.  This one also ran up a potentially devastating deficit.  Please visit King Shamus to see the chart that should win Republicans this election.  Voters who do not follow the news might not have heard that for the first time in history Canada surpassed the US in household wealth (as they might not know about Fast and Furious or Solyndra), but they still feel uncertain about their and their kids’ future.

Obama has a strange relationship with the Democratic base.  On the one hand, he’s pandering, and everyone knows it.  He declared that he’s “evolving” back to his earlier position of personally supporting gay marriage, only he won’t do anything about it.  Hollywood posers ate it up, but the polls didn’t move.  Gay marriage is supposed to be a hip issue with gays, young voters and miscellaneous social liberals, but maybe not at the time of economic uncertainty.

On the other hand, Jews constitute an important voter and donor base of Democratic party.  Yet he demands that Israel returns to the ’67 borders, slights Benjamin Netanyahu and gives away details of a possible Israeli strike on the Iranian nuclear facility.  Result: Jews might deliver Florida to Romney.

This administration sure has a way to ensure that the opposition will make it to the polls.  Aside from treatment of Israel, a partial list of his offenses includes ramming through Obamacare, record deficits, poor economy, complete disregard for the rule of law, enemies lists and the clandestine Fast and Furious.  It’s a very partial list, to be sure.  There is something to add to it every week, if not twice a week.  Then he goes out and insults middle of the road voters with comments like “you didn’t build that”, and lets miscellaneous little errors pile up , like getting Joe Biden to campaign or having Vogue editor Anna Wintour record a campaign video.

BO is most certainly not running your typical Presidential campaign.  When all is said and done, we’ll see how low his support can drop.  If Romney doesn’t win by a landslide, however, we should panic a little.



  1. I just hope it’s a landslide defeat for the “smartest man ever to hold office.”

    Anything less than a landslide defeat would be an insult to the Americans who have had to suffer through four years of his Kingship.

    Comment by Infidel de Manahatta — July 31, 2012 @ 6:47 am

  2. If Romney doesn’t win by a landslide, we are in serious long term trouble. This election will hinge on voter turnout in twelve swing states. Romney is not the best motivator I have ever seen; but Obma is a great motivator for Republicans. We will know in less than 100 days.

    Comment by Conservatives on Fire — July 31, 2012 @ 8:06 am

  3. I agree, Mitt Romney should win by a landslide. Especially so, when you consider the missteps Obama has made and his dismal record on the economy. Having said that, it is more than a little troubling that Romney isn’t stepping all over him in the polls. It makes me wonder if the voters are smart enough to see through the hope and change Obama is still trying to sell them and witness the man for what he really is.

    Comment by LD Jackson — July 31, 2012 @ 6:29 pm

    • Welcome to my blog!
      I find it troubling too, although it’s still to early to tell, and I have to wonder about the polls. They seem to oversample Democrats, but do conservatives identify as Republican these days?

      Comment by edge of the sandbox — July 31, 2012 @ 10:22 pm

  4. Thank you so much for linkage, my friend. I appreciate it.

    I know this is a goofy comparison, but framed the way you put it, I almost get a Giuliani 2008 vibe. Because he felt he couldn’t win the nomination the old fashioned way–winning early caucuses and primaries–the former NYC mayor decided to bet it all on a ‘Win Florida’ strategy. Of course, we all know how well President Rudy has done these last few years. ;-p

    Same thing with Obama. He can’t win except by using an unorthodox strategy and he knows it. I think this reveals him to be much more desperate then he’s letting on.

    Comment by KingShamus — August 1, 2012 @ 12:13 pm

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