sitting on the edge of the sandbox, biting my tongue

November 1, 2012

Operation Demoralize AKA Operation Help Come To Terms

Filed under: politics — Tags: — edge of the sandbox @ 11:18 am

Help your Democrat neighbor Cope.  SF Gate reports:

Liberals so freaked out about the prospect of President Obama losing his re-election bid that they can’t sleep at night. Can’t talk about anything else. Can’t stop parsing the latest polls.

They’ve been freaked out like that since the first Presidential debate, which, in some people’s opinion, their candidate only lost because “stupid Americans want him to be more aggressive”.  I think that was an invitation for me to step in and share some foreign-born wisdom.  So I figure I’ll indulge.

First off, when I was a student at a community college my economics instructor drew a chart correlating the state of the economy with the outcomes of post-WW2 presidential elections.  In a good economy, the incumbent gets reelected, in a bad economy he gets tossed out.  How’s Obama supposed to win when so many people are out of work?  He knows it, and, yes, he looks tired and he probably doesn’t want the job.  I wouldn’t want his job either.  Would you?

Actually, there is something wrong with people who go into politics.  My sister never votes in Presidential elections because, she says, she will never vote for the person who has it in him to become the nominee.  (True story, and no, her inactivity is not making fascism possible; she’s just apolitical.  It’s fascistic to insist that everyone votes.  OK, I’m not bringing up that bit about fascism.)  Obama doesn’t want the job, but Hillary sure does.  She’ll probably run in 2016.

I’m not sure she will, actually.  She looks tired these days herself.

Anywho, here is my plan for next Tuesday.  If, when the results of the election are first finalized on live TV Pennsylvania is called for Romney, break out the bubbly, election is over.  If Pennsylvania is too closed to call, break out the bubbly, a few Midwestern states where polling was tighter surely went for Romney.  If Pennsylvania is called for the Bamster, keep chilling the bubbly and wait for his famed blue state “firewall” to break.  If Virginia is called early, it’s a good sign.  Am I getting cocky?

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14 Comments »

  1. There’s also the option to drink heavily from the start so that you’re dulled to the results either way. That’s how I did it last cycle, but I had the help of being at a tradeshow for the evening reception. I can understand optimism for both sides, but let’s just say that 49% of the populace is going to be really unhappy by evening’s end, and 99% will be unhappy at some point.

    Use your own best-known method. The one you state seems reasonable, and the sun will sill rise the next morning either way.

    (Sorry, I’m not cocky enough yet.)

    Comment by Jim Fister — November 1, 2012 @ 2:27 pm

  2. Rasmusson, interviewed at pjmedia, said that IF Pennsylvania goes for Romney, then it’s over for Obama. That means we don’t have to wait to break open the bubbly!

    Comment by heathermc — November 1, 2012 @ 3:33 pm

    • If he get Pennsylvania, he doesn’t need Ohio and means that he probably got it, too. It’s over.

      Comment by edge of the sandbox — November 2, 2012 @ 9:42 am

  3. Love it. Having a watching party here, libertarians to conservatives only. I’m not trying to exclude, but we will be in a celebratory mood and it would be doubly troubling for my lefty friends. I’m ‘this close’ to making some 48/2 bet with my husband. He’s more cautious than me but, except when he misses a gut trend, he’s always more accurate. Too bad you’re in CA.
    I’ll have my counseling session, written for Brits but prob a good explainer to home libs too, on my blog. But I’ll be celebrating. Yes we are getting cocky, but have you seen the independent numbers?!

    Comment by AHLondon (@AHLondon_Tex) — November 1, 2012 @ 3:39 pm

    • The polls that show O ahead have D+8 turn out model. According to Gallop party id is R+1 or something like that.

      Comment by edge of the sandbox — November 2, 2012 @ 9:44 am

  4. find it hard to believe that the electorate is any less unhappy today than they were at the 2012 mid-term elections. There is no reson for people to be happier. So, no, I don’t think you are being cocky.

    Comment by Conservatives on Fire — November 2, 2012 @ 7:18 am

  5. As to Hilary, if the full story comes out re Benghazi, and the Dept of State’s complicity is outline, then she has no future either.

    Comment by heathermc — November 2, 2012 @ 5:00 pm

    • Oh, I agree. I suspect that she’s tired too and she’s looking forward to being a grandmother — or whatever. I am proposing placing the idea in the heads of liberals that Hilary is the man and that in 2016 everybody will be so totally disgusted with this awful Mitt Romney and surely vote for her.

      Comment by edge of the sandbox — November 2, 2012 @ 9:13 pm

  6. I hope you started drinking early, my friend…

    Comment by Jim Fister — November 6, 2012 @ 9:02 pm

    • I’m absolutely sober. Oh well. What’s most important is that my family is with me, even though my kids will not inherit the kind of country I want them to have.

      Comment by edge of the sandbox — November 6, 2012 @ 9:06 pm

      • Notable practical near term financial advice from a guy in New York (Now Batting for Pedro Borbon), at http://www.crossmolina.blogspot.ca/

        “Wow. It’s Coming Good and Hard.
        I’m shocked. My worst feeling comes not from what Obama is going to do to this country over the next four, unrestrained years, but what it means for this country now that its citizens have lost all sense of judgement, discernment and wisdom. It is one thing to be seduced by a charlatan once, it is entirely another to double down on a charlatan’s spell. I am deeply, deeply pessimistic about the future of a country that can elect an unqualified, inexperienced, and subversive fool to the highest office in the land…twice; and reject the decency and accomplishment of of a man like Mitt Romney. We deserve everything we get – depression, chaos, war, inflation, loss of liberty, social strife. It’s coming and we deserve every last ounce. We have voted and we will get what we deserve…good and hard, I might add.

        As for my part, the fight never stops. Obama 2.0 requires Galtism 4.0. Withdrawal is the order of the day. Time to simply bunker down and hide under our desks for another four years. Eight years is a long time, but so be it. As 5%er (not quite a 1%er, sorry), I’m hunkering down, reigning in, living to fight another day.

        Here’s the tentative investment call:

        – Treasuries: near term neutral, long term bearish – Treasury yields can’t get much lower, Obama will tack on $5 trillion more debt in O2.0 and Bernanke will inflate, inflate, inflate. You will lose your shirt loaning money to Obama 2.0’s US of A.

        – Equities: near term bearish, long term bullish – businesses will hunker down, hoard cash, avoid growth initiatives, but the prospect of losing your shirt in Treasuries will keep some demand under equities.

        – Commodities: bullish – inflation is coming, good and hard.

        – Real Estate: bearish – property taxes are going up massively for everybody, the local fiscal imbalances will get pushed off and get worse, and the bill is gong to be sent to people who can’t react quickly.

        As a sage has said/is saying, I’ll be as gracious as the other side was in 2000 and 2004.”

        Comment by heathermc — November 6, 2012 @ 9:47 pm

        • Thanks for the read. I’m also disheartened by the fact that his fool got reelected. I think his base will end-up in a much worse shape than decent hard-working Americans. have you seen the video on Legal Insurrection of some dimwit praising O for handing out money to arts institution in hard times? Well, once the country starts running out of other people’s money, guess who’s getting cut first? And at that point I’m not sure how far his barrista skills will take him.

          Comment by edge of the sandbox — November 7, 2012 @ 10:28 pm


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