sitting on the edge of the sandbox, biting my tongue

December 18, 2014

Why Normalization of Relationships With Cuba MAY Be A Good Move

Filed under: politics, Russia — Tags: , , — edge of the sandbox @ 4:05 pm

Russian opposition leader (unlikely to ever be elected to the highest office) Alexey Navalny tweets:

Cuba wrote off its $32 billion debt, and a half a year down the road normalized relations with the US. Once again, Putin outwits everyone.

Why would Putin write off Cuba’s debt?  In July it was said that Russia plans to reopen its Soviet-era spy base on the island.  If that’s not bad enough, now that Russo-US ties are deteriorating rapidly, they might find other use for “The Isle of Freedom”, as it was called in the Soviet days.

And yes, Castro operates a nice little Gulag, and Cuban Americans are aghast.  But the Castro brothers are ailing and Russia, with or without Putin, is capable of threatening our security to far greater extent than Cuba, and they are grinding an axe.  Drawing a wedge between Russia and Cuba is obviously in our interest.

Normalizing relations with Cuba was in the works for a while — it’s one of those things that makes Obamka think he’s historic.  But he could had accidentally done something positive for his country, provided that we insist on the Castros breaking up with Putin.

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4 Comments »

  1. Good point. I’ve been thinking how I might have to give Obama credit and backtrack on myself over his treatment of Putin. Waiting him out until the oil prices tanked has to betaking a toll in Russian maybe putting Vlad is in a weak position. But the fact is Vlad can afford to wait until the prices spike again, especially if fracking is cut back. If we can sneak Cuba out from under his nose I WILL have to give Obama a pat on the back. That will rankle me a bit, but I can handle it. ;~)
    LOL @ Obamka!!!

    Comment by calihurder — December 19, 2014 @ 8:08 am

    • I’m not sure Obama is in charge of his Russia policy, it’s just so out of character for him, don’t you think? I imagine he doesn’t care either way because skin color is not an issue in Russia/Ukraine.
      I also heard (from Russians) that there is more going on with Russian economy than the dropping oil prices (which is the Saudi weapon against our fracking industry). Russia is not the only country heavily reliant on energy exports, but Russian economy is the only one that collapsed.
      I actually think we completely fumbled our Russia policy. We projected weakness and then panicked when Putin started acting like a thug. What we should had done is send a tough realist diplomat to forcefully represent our position and come with some sort of a resolution. After that lots of trust but verify.
      I’m not convinced that Russians will not rally around Putin now. And after a few years Ukrainians will figure out that EU is not taking them (Ukraine requires something like 200bil investment, which, considering Ukrainian corruption, we might as well wire to Switzerland directly). Then what?

      Comment by edge of the sandbox — December 19, 2014 @ 9:29 am

  2. For once I happen to agree with what Obama did. We should have normalized relations a decade ago but couldn’t with a Republican in the White House. There are a lot of Cubans in Florida after all and they mostly vote Republican.

    Comment by Infidel de Manahatta — December 23, 2014 @ 4:23 am


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